Locked Out: How the Housing Crisis Is Stalling New Construction Projects

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 Challenges in New Home Construction:
  • Builders face difficulties pricing homes due to supply chain and labor shortages.
  • Increased production costs are not caused by builders' markup but by rising material and labor costs.
  • Many builders are halting speculative home production due to high costs.
Labor Shortages in Construction:
  • Builders are struggling to find qualified workers for various tasks, from framing to skilled trades like electrical, plumbing, and HVAC.
  • To attract workers, builders must offer higher wages (up to $40/hour in certain markets), but this increases the overall cost of construction.
  • A shortage of 650,000 construction workers this year and an additional 590,000 next year adds to the industry's strain.
The Impact of Lumber Prices:
  • Lumber prices have decreased slightly but remain higher than previous years, with volatility still a concern.
  • Contractors must account for potential price hikes when estimating costs for new homes.
Financing Challenges:
  • Builders often rely on bridge or construction loans to cover upfront costs, but higher interest rates increase overall borrowing expenses.
  • Higher borrowing costs are passed on to homebuyers, driving up home prices.
Regulations and Fees:
  • Fees like permits and impact fees can add up to $94,000 to the cost of a new home.
  • Delays due to regulations can increase labor and carrying costs, adding tens of thousands of dollars to the final price.
Land Costs:
  • While land prices have increased, they are not as significant a factor as labor and materials in the overall home price.
The Long Road to Building in High-Demand Areas:
  • In San Francisco, it took 15 years for a builder to complete a five-unit property due to zoning approvals, environmental concerns, and extensive bureaucracy.
  • This lengthy timeline limits the number of projects builders can complete in their careers, potentially leading to a shortage of qualified professionals.
Conclusion:
  • Builders face significant challenges from rising labor and material costs, financing issues, and long approval processes.
  • The time it takes to complete a project directly impacts its cost and quality, contributing to the ongoing housing crisis.
 
Locked Out: How the Housing Crisis Is Stalling New Construction Projects
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