Used Car Shortage Looming for the Next 5 Years

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Overview:
  • A hidden crisis is looming in the automotive retailing industry, stemming from the pandemic's impact, which continues to affect the market even years later.
Key Points:
  • Fewer Lease Returns:
    • The pandemic resulted in lower sales and lease volumes in 2020 and 2021 when dealerships were shut down.
    • In 2024, there will be fewer lease returns because many leases originated during a period of low vehicle sales.
  • Impact on Used Car Inventory:
    • Used car inventory is primarily sourced from vehicles sold two or three years prior.
    • The most common lease term is three years, so vehicles leased in 2021 are not returning to the market in expected volumes.
  • Market Trends:
    • The late-model used car market is anticipated to be slim for the next 12 to 18 months, potentially leading to higher prices for used cars.
    • Owners who purchased cars in 2021 are likely to keep them longer, further reducing the availability of late-model used cars.
Future Outlook:
  • According to JD Power, used vehicle supply is not expected to return to 2023 levels until the end of the decade (approximately 5-6 years away).
  • Consumers should consider keeping their current vehicles longer or looking into new car options, as the price difference may be negligible.
Advice for Listeners:
  • With high interest rates continuing, it's essential to plan ahead if vehicle replacement is needed in your family.
  • Explore your options and consider how the market may change over the next few years.
Additional Resources:
  • For personalized guidance, check out actualhuman.com for live one-on-one private video consultations with experts on this topic.
Conclusion:
  • If you found this information helpful, explore more videos on our channel for additional insights to assist you in navigating your automotive needs.
Used Car Shortage Looming for the Next 5 Years
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