Still Waiting for a Housing Crash? Here's the Reality Check

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Key Points:
  • Current Trends:
    • As of April 2022, home price growth accelerated, rising 19.8%, the highest since August 2021.
    • Despite rising interest rates, home prices continued to rise during the winter months of January and February 2022.
  • Mixed Opinions:
    • News outlets like CNBC suggested a slowdown might be coming, but just months before, they reported home price growth decelerating, which didn't happen.
  • The Relocation Trend:
    • Many buyers are looking to move to more affordable metro areas due to skyrocketing home prices and rising mortgage rates.
    • This trend mainly involves renters, not homeowners, who are now looking to purchase in more affordable locations.
  • Limited Home Inventory:
    • Fewer people are willing to sell their homes due to low-interest rates on existing mortgages, which makes it harder to find a new home.
    • Selling a home with a 2-3% mortgage rate and moving to a new house with a 6-7% mortgage rate is financially unappealing.
    • Homeowners are essentially holding onto a "lottery ticket" in the form of low mortgage rates.
  • Impact of Higher Interest Rates:
    • Higher interest rates are pushing homebuyers into a position where they may have to pay more for a home or be locked out due to limited inventory.
    • Historically, 5-6% mortgage rates were considered low, so current rates are still relatively manageable compared to past decades.
  • Renting vs. Buying:
    • Rent prices are rising sharply, leading many renters to reconsider buying homes to avoid paying higher rents in the future.
    • Buying now could save money in the long run by locking in a mortgage payment that may be more stable than rising rent prices.
  • Hidden Costs of Waiting:
    • Delaying a purchase could lead to higher prices, increased interest rates, and deferred maintenance issues in homes.
    • Deferred maintenance can lead to costly repairs that a new buyer would need to address.
  • Future Considerations:
    • While home prices may continue to rise, the decision to buy depends on individual circumstances.
    • Renting might become more expensive as home prices rise and renters face higher lease renewals.
  • Conclusion:
    • The housing market is unpredictable, and it's important to focus on facts rather than opinions from news outlets.
    • If you're thinking of buying, consider the current market trends and your personal situation. Home prices may keep rising, and waiting could mean higher prices and interest rates in the future.
  • Listener Engagement:
    • We’d love to hear your thoughts on the housing market! Share your experiences or opinions on how these factors are affecting you.
Still Waiting for a Housing Crash? Here's the Reality Check
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