Rising Lumber Prices: Hidden Opportunities for Builders
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- Lumber Price Trends
- Current prices are in the $500–$600 range per thousand board feet, well below last year's highs.
- Recent 10% increase in prices, but still far from the $1,000 range.
- Prices likely won't return to the $300–$400 range seen years ago.
- Market Predictions
- $500–$600 may become the new norm.
- Real estate market stabilization could push prices to $600–$700 in the coming year.
- Opportunities for Builders
- Despite higher interest rates, demand for remodels, additions, and new homes persists.
- Current lumber prices create a potential profit margin for builders.
- Housing Market Overview
- Approximately 5 million potential homeowners are waiting to enter the market.
- Many buyers are adapting to mortgage rates of 5–6%, which are often cheaper than rent.
- Future Demand Insights
- Demand for housing is expected to grow over the next 2–3 years.
- Builders pulling back now may lead to an even tighter market later, with fewer new homes available.
- Key Takeaway
- Builders who can secure labor and capital have an opportunity to meet the increasing demand in the next 12–24 months.