2024 Builder Market Forecast: Trends, Challenges, and Opportunities

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Lumber Prices and Market Fluctuations:
  • Lumber prices have experienced instability, ranging from $1,500-$1,600 per thousand board feet, now down to $500-$600.
  • High interest rates initially created demand for new homes due to limited resales, but the situation has shifted as rates have decreased.
Interest Rates and Builder Optimism:
  • Interest rates are dropping, now closer to 7%, which is bringing some optimism to builders.
  • Lower rates could lead to more resale homes on the market, though it could also increase demand for new homes as buyers return to the market.
Challenges in New Construction:
  • For non-spec homes, there’s a delay in construction time, leading to hesitation among buyers.
  • While the Federal Reserve may cut rates in the future, inflation in building materials and mortgage company markups may keep rates stable.
Labor Shortages and Market Shifts:
  • Skilled labor shortages continue, with potential impacts on new home construction.
  • Remodels and additions are expected to decrease, especially those done during the pandemic.
  • Growing pressure for multifamily housing due to municipal pushes for workforce housing, apartment complexes, and duplexes/triplexes.
Call for Feedback:
  • Builders are encouraged to share their thoughts on the market outlook for 2024-2025.
  • Builders are also invited to share how these market shifts are affecting their ability to secure projects and clients in their local and national markets.
2024 Builder Market Forecast: Trends, Challenges, and Opportunities
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